Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lindenwood Lions vs. Tennessee State Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5aa6bbadd143885f19882f6461751a9419a11e4e57853540b60cde1e68951a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee State Tigersof Lindenwood Lions, Tennessee State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 57c | 3,776$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Lindenwood Lions | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tennessee State Tigers | 58c | 2,630$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.04 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lindenwood Lions | 48c | 2,435$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 1,683$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.25 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee State Tigers | 58c | 1,565$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lindenwood Lions | 44c | 1,378$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 1,362$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lindenwood Lions | 38c | 1,295$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.94 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tennessee State Tigers | 56c | 1,108$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.73 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Lindenwood Lions | 38c | 1,047$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.67 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lindenwood Lions | 58c | 761.96$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.11 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Lindenwood Lions | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tennessee State Tigers | 61c | 637.43$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tennessee State Tigers | 42c | 583.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 562$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.38 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…126ebacked Lindenwood Lions | 24c | 496.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 458.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.27 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 38c | 431$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 61c | 430.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee State Tigers | 57c | 388.72$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tennessee State Tigers | 40c | 387$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 46c | 334.66$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lindenwood Lions | 38c | 326$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.88 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lindenwood Lions | 39c | 300.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lindenwood Lions | 70c | 287.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Lindenwood Lions | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 27c | 261.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Lindenwood Lions | 38c | 237$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lindenwood Lions | 42c | 228.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 40c | 200.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lindenwood Lions | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lindenwood Lions | 15c | 196.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 40c | 178$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 44c | 167.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Lindenwood Lions | 34c | 159.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Lindenwood Lions | 63c | 158.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…b98cbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Lindenwood Lions | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Tennessee State Tigers | 68c | 120.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Tennessee State Tigers | 61c | 98.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tennessee State Tigers | 56c | 94.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 40c | 83.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Tennessee State Tigers | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 77.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lindenwood Lions | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lindenwood Lions | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tennessee State Tigers | 61c | 62.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 58.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 55.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tennessee State Tigers | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Lindenwood Lions | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Lindenwood Lions | 46c | 46.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lindenwood Lions | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…9d43backed Tennessee State Tigers | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Lindenwood Lions | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Lindenwood Lions | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 45c | 27.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 48c | 24.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Tennessee State Tigers | 63c | 18.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lindenwood Lions vs. Tennessee State Tigersthis page
- Lindenwood Lions vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Tennessee State Tigers (-4.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.