MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e08989f6f69e231c432626e6a1249b13c0e5888d850e223796420af1a997c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Guardians, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $932,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $924,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $932,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 45c | 664,046$298,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365,304.08 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Guardians | 55c | 290,000$159,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,500 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Guardians | 56c | 80,000$44,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,800 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 55c | 57,000$31,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,350 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 55c | 55,000$30,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,250 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 44c | 51,720$22,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,968.55 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.99 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 44c | 23,921$10,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,453.69 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Guardians | 55c | 22,600$12,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,430 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 75c | 22,376$16,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,594 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Guardians | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 57c | 15,654$8,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,886.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Guardians | 55c | 12,666$6,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,966.3 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 71c | 10,194$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 55c | 7,800$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 1,159 | 49.3%571 W · 588 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Twins | 69c | 7,171$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.35 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Twins | 44c | 5,016$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.96 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 56c | 3,908$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.48 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 56c | 3,371$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Twins | 49c | 2,864$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.14 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Twins | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.71 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Guardians | 58c | 2,138$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.44 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 56c | 2,100$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.45 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Twins | 78c | 2,078$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.16 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Guardians | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 41c | 1,341$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.54 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 37c | 1,225$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Guardians | 55c | 1,095$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,093$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.07 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Guardians | 55c | 1,061$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Guardians | 55c | 1,048$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,038$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Guardians | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 49c | 967.04$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.7 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 46c | 893.24$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.4 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Twins | 47c | 843.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.77 | 672 | 48.5%326 W · 346 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 47c | 799.98$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 3,320 | 46.2%1,535 W · 1,785 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Guardians | 55c | 777$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Twins | 42c | 732.83$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 6,132 | 55.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L | +346.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Guardians | 53c | 726.6$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.1 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 44c | 625$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 45c | 609.28$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.1 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 45c | 573.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 73c | 565.39$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Guardians | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Guardians | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 57c | 526$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 43c | 520.32$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Twins | 44c | 510$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Guardians | 56c | 500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 1,452 | 49.9%725 W · 727 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 80c | 417.84$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Twins | 45c | 417.71$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 633 | 52.8%334 W · 299 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Twins | 44c | 404$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Guardians | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…eda6backed Guardians | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Guardians | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Twins | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Guardians | 34c | 373.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Twins | 44c | 368.18$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Guardians | 59c | 340.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 45c | 338.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 1,058 | 50.4%533 W · 525 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Guardians | 56c | 310$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Guardians | 52c | 294$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Twins | 79c | 292.22$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 45c | 276$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Twins | 70c | 271.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 33c | 262.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 44c | 245.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 1,093 | 46.4%507 W · 586 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Guardians | 56c | 230.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 30c | 221$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 44c | 215.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Twins | 79c | 207.77$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…10a7backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Twinsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.