Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. BOOM Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdadff9e4b9fa4f1b3b1469209398e480c7866875244f32541d6a8ce5077b92ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, BOOM Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea0f…23b1backed BOOM Esports | 15c | 10,113$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Team Liquid | 74c | 2,620$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.19 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed BOOM Esports | 11c | 2,079$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BOOM Esports | 2c | 1,408$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed BOOM Esports | 26c | 1,127$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2ce2backed BOOM Esports | 2c | 1,015$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed BOOM Esports | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked BOOM Esports | 12c | 600$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed BOOM Esports | 20c | 510.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Liquid | 67c | 297.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed BOOM Esports | 11c | 249.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed BOOM Esports | 10c | 212$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed BOOM Esports | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…613abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…ac8bbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…888fbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.