CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca443f9b161b8e60b794d00d5a51295f03678137c0dbf60977b2455141ec06ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Passion UA, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Passion UA | 11c | 36,492$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.69 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Passion UA | 10c | 12,635$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.26 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Passion UA | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Passion UA | 0c | 7,282$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Passion UA | 7c | 6,813$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.14 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Passion UA | 10c | 5,555$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Passion UA | 10c | 5,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed Passion UA | 10c | 5,041$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.13 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Passion UA | 5c | 3,059$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Passion UA | 11c | 2,406$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.95 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Passion UA | 11c | 2,222$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Passion UA | 14c | 1,328$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Passion UA | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…695fbacked Passion UA | 11c | 1,101$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Passion UA | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Passion UA | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Passion UA | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA | 9c | 757$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Passion UA | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…044bbacked Passion UA | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Passion UA | 11c | 430$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Passion UA | 9c | 353.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…a617backed Passion UA | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…82f5backed Passion UA | 11c | 282$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Passion UA | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Passion UA | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed Passion UA | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Passion UA | 10c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Passion UA | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Passion UA | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…dbb4backed Passion UA | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Passion UA | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Passion UA | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.