CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf5c1838886725a13037333a1749b198505b0b0f7b032fb5d20ee28441610ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Passion UA, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Passion UA | 41c | 5,180$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.26 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,955$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.78 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Passion UA | 19c | 2,559$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.77 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,797$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.94 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Passion UA | 21c | 1,222$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.04 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Passion UA | 47c | 1,074$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 61.3%155 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Passion UA | 38c | 1,062$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Passion UA | 3c | 1,024$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Passion UA | 31c | 975.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 782.3$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA | 32c | 754.69$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 750$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Passion UA | 32c | 422.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Passion UA | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Passion UA | 46c | 398.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA | 23c | 372.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA | 10c | 357.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Passion UA | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed Passion UA | 28c | 282.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Passion UA | 19c | 215$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Team Falcons | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Passion UA | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…536ebacked Passion UA | 13c | 197.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Passion UA | 29c | 167.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Team Falcons | 66c | 160.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Passion UA | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Falcons | 64c | 141.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…25e1backed Team Falcons | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…eddbbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 136.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Falcons | 72c | 118.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Passion UA | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Passion UA | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Team Falcons | 68c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Team Falcons | 72c | 87.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Passion UA | 46c | 85.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Passion UA | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked Passion UA | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Team Falcons | 80c | 53.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…28f9backed Team Falcons | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Passion UA | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Falcons | 80c | 48.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -20.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Team Falcons | 67c | 44.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Team Falcons | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Team Falcons | 74c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Team Falcons | 65c | 25.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.