TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Sharks, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sharks35c8,068$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,263.3435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Red Wings65c3,200$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9631849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Red Wings7c3,100$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Red Wings65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks34c2,281$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.211,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Red Wings65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97516554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings4c1,100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Wings64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Red Wings64c789.96$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5729847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcc…fc0fbacked Red Wings69c732.65$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Red Wings65c692.31$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sharks35c689.36$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Sharks69c616$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1414949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Sharks64c553.41$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9431334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sharks35c528.14$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.4379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.531,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings66c499.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings54c498.92$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.231,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Sharks58c490$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.818237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sharks34c418.94$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.747249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Sharks36c411.35$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.264548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Sharks38c395.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.034245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks58c390$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Red Wings65c353.85$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Sharks34c347$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5458346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Red Wings40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Red Wings66c299.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9811951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks75c275.23$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.893,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings34c258.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Red Wings65c215.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Red Wings64c204.38$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.824945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…98d0backed Red Wings64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Red Wings65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Sharks34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9913361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Sharks37c134.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.224839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22d…e35dbacked Red Wings66c131.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.771844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Sharks34c127.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5962944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Sharks79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Red Wings46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786b…60bebacked Red Wings68c100.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e17…adabbacked Red Wings68c100.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cad…4a69backed Red Wings42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a9…8c17backed Sharks34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4eb…8a87backed Sharks34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a8…4d6fbacked Red Wings67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x803e…0705backed Red Wings67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f9…6e09backed Sharks34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ab…29edbacked Sharks34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2400…f2b7backed Red Wings30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Red Wings64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings37c70.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings65c61.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…b60fbacked Sharks34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Red Wings68c59.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.784852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5eab…62d4backed Sharks34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3c…7371backed Sharks35c57.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.341656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f72…bda2backed Red Wings66c54.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Red Wings68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Red Wings64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa891…9ebabacked Sharks36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+173.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks33c49.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f37…b248backed Red Wings66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Red Wings67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x072c…cb99backed Sharks34c43.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ba…f7e7backed Sharks34c40.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6433…f8e1backed Red Wings60c39.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Red Wings65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40ec…64f4backed Red Wings68c37.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…36d2backed Red Wings59c35.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…0773backed Red Wings66c35.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.59540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdb…22debacked Sharks35c34.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc258…bc1bbacked Sharks34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+160.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf28…4110backed Red Wings67c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e0…f454backed Sharks34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8236…17a5backed Sharks34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+139.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200c…3f7cbacked Red Wings68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb907…9c2ebacked Red Wings68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e18…058abacked Sharks34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a58…8a00backed Red Wings67c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23aa…198abacked Red Wings67c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…24e4backed Sharks34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc05…697bbacked Red Wings68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc43c…52cdbacked Sharks34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick36cpaid+182.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf79…fed6backed Sharks33c32.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6142…6e7dbacked Sharks34c31.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d1…627abacked Sharks33c31.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0166…6b08backed Sharks33c31.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+66.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c0…4033backed Sharks33c31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df8…377ebacked Sharks33c30.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb558…6d77backed Sharks66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Red Wings64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0d…863ebacked Red Wings67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x407b…3c17backed Red Wings68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8d…4286backed Sharks34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…6fe1backed Sharks35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc1…7c52backed Sharks34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+149.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…caa5backed Red Wings67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a9…86a8backed Sharks34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.