NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e9216ba0e8d9cdda37b3927be9320bd7104b0df36a1f81ef6f7484e0c0f9f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb12…7c4bbacked Stars | 54c | 4,180$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…bb32backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,354$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Stars | 53c | 2,092$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.18 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,864$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 54c | 999.92$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…5e20backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…cce7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 608.13$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Stars | 50c | 593.23$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.61 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 52c | 579.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 399.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…4059backed Stars | 52c | 384.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 380.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Stars | 54c | 277.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 218.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Stars | 46c | 205.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…e1d4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 202.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…58b6backed Stars | 52c | 200.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Stars | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…1784backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Stars | 55c | 197.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…0c59backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 195.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 51c | 192.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…c0a5backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 182.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d394backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 179.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 169.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 161.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…7bccbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…b93fbacked Stars | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 117.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 110.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…f445backed Stars | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Stars | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 75c | 91.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Stars | 20c | 84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 76.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…17b8backed Stars | 48c | 74.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…c9fcbacked Stars | 51c | 72.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Stars | 51c | 70.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…b9f9backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…c5c1backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 66.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…86eebacked Stars | 51c | 65.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a0…befebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…b0a9backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 63.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…b5d8backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 59.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…9283backed Stars | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…b942backed Stars | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Stars | 51c | 48.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 47.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2a70backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 47.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…f416backed Stars | 50c | 47.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Stars | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…d7eebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 45.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…0eccbacked Stars | 48c | 45.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Stars | 55c | 45.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…41ebbacked Stars | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 43.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…18d3backed Stars | 50c | 43.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…cc67backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 43.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 41.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3965…0d83backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 41.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…5d0cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 41.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…7a39backed Stars | 48c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…e2a0backed Stars | 54c | 40.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…43d5backed Stars | 48c | 40.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…2fdcbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 40.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…3c93backed Stars | 51c | 40.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…1a39backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 40.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…4ee1backed Stars | 50c | 40.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…8ca5backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 39.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…9b91backed Stars | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…f979backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…7c20backed Stars | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…1ae7backed Stars | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…7b79backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Stars | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…cc1bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…3ad8backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 37.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…fae8backed Stars | 52c | 37.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0643backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 36.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…5e33backed Stars | 53c | 36.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…8660backed Stars | 54c | 36.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…894bbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 36.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.