NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7e9d42528fe95297faa8a09a14aef0032fc05debd72d00f59d081c396026df8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken | 44c | 926.64$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.38 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Penguins | 9c | 926.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 56c | 906.77$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.79 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins | 54c | 606.51$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.51 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Penguins | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 44c | 497.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.25 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 24c | 493.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kraken | 45c | 399.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.94 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kraken | 44c | 397.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.82 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Penguins | 80c | 376.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 5c | 342.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 44c | 305$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.34 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 56c | 299.55$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kraken | 43c | 267.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…8eb8backed Penguins | 59c | 206.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Penguins | 56c | 200.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…0704backed Kraken | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…8644backed Penguins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Penguins | 55c | 149.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kraken | 45c | 134.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kraken | 45c | 133$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Penguins | 41c | 121.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 44c | 101.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Kraken | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Penguins | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Penguins | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Kraken | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Penguins | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kraken | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 44c | 79.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 54c | 69.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Penguins | 55c | 67.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Kraken | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…0997backed Penguins | 55c | 46.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…9b67backed Kraken | 45c | 46.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…6ad0backed Penguins | 79c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…527cbacked Penguins | 56c | 42.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Penguins | 57c | 42.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…a239backed Kraken | 46c | 41.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…34cabacked Kraken | 44c | 41.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Penguins | 57c | 41.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Penguins | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…f860backed Kraken | 46c | 39.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…0bdabacked Kraken | 44c | 38.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…17edbacked Penguins | 56c | 38.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…de86backed Kraken | 45c | 38.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9364…99e9backed Penguins | 56c | 38.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…c13dbacked Penguins | 55c | 37.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…5b4bbacked Penguins | 55c | 37.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2f…36e0backed Penguins | 55c | 36.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Penguins | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…fa73backed Kraken | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…32d8backed Kraken | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…6630backed Penguins | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…b4eebacked Penguins | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccd…925ebacked Kraken | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…dbddbacked Penguins | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…7baabacked Penguins | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…f265backed Kraken | 45c | 33.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…4b60backed Penguins | 56c | 33.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…66debacked Kraken | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…cb6ebacked Penguins | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…4285backed Kraken | 42c | 32.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Penguins | 54c | 32.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…8a76backed Kraken | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…f147backed Penguins | 56c | 32.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…5faebacked Penguins | 56c | 32.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…f679backed Kraken | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…1b93backed Penguins | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…9fd8backed Kraken | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bd…2322backed Penguins | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…775bbacked Penguins | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ac…679cbacked Kraken | 46c | 30.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…5938backed Penguins | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…ab1fbacked Penguins | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…60b9backed Kraken | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…7eedbacked Kraken | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…2eeabacked Penguins | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…ceccbacked Kraken | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…1ba6backed Kraken | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…501fbacked Penguins | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…0e41backed Kraken | 44c | 29.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…f4ebbacked Kraken | 44c | 29.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…d862backed Penguins | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…49f5backed Kraken | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…5604backed Kraken | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…1a1fbacked Penguins | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…53e1backed Penguins | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…8faebacked Penguins | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…7dddbacked Kraken | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8a…130cbacked Kraken | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…1c28backed Penguins | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fd…e3e9backed Kraken | 45c | 28.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd6…5a68backed Kraken | 44c | 28.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.