TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Stars, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fbc…52dabacked Stars57c10,017$5,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,709.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b47…2f60backed Senators43c10,012$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Stars58c2,300$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.220147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Senators41c1,533$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.5635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars4c1,100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars56c999.9$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Senators42c982.77$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5709153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators42c764.02$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.821,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Senators40c728.02$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.8129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x967f…3750backed Stars58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x390f…9ef2backed Senators44c700$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Senators46c690.8$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Stars31c620.6$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.968950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Senators40c544.69$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9714949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars48c500$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…3b85backed Senators65c413.27$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.851275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars52c349.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators68c305.71$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Senators69c298.52$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5313361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators24c251.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.111,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Stars76c250$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.928744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Stars60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Senators45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.54742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators44c222.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7654349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…b9adbacked Senators71c214.73$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.271070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Stars56c199.6$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.948654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Stars59c194.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Stars55c149.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4919150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Senators41c146$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Stars10c144$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.047450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators43c139.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Senators43c130.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Stars59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Stars59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Stars33c114.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.144553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad16…c87bbacked Stars58c112.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Stars57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Senators43c99.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.943647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Stars59c85.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Stars17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Stars57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Stars59c74.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4415456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Senators43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1419057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6e…f37fbacked Stars60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe931…5b4bbacked Senators44c48.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4799…84b7backed Senators44c46.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a7…e610backed Stars57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Stars60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf541…7812backed Stars57c41.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d2…87f9backed Stars58c38.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e56…de8fbacked Senators44c38.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00a…5b32backed Stars56c38.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x979d…db58backed Senators44c36.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0523…7ad4backed Stars56c36.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Senators41c34.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6410941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51bc…e9edbacked Senators44c33.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.871145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b1…5c76backed Stars57c33.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ab…591dbacked Senators43c33.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9f…9a8dbacked Stars56c33.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7b…6a7abacked Senators44c33.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f30…1379backed Stars75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf6…0075backed Senators42c33.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001c…ded1backed Senators41c32.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-59.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ee…f98ebacked Stars59c32.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…9f6ebacked Senators44c30.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Senators41c30.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7658346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0afd…9671backed Stars56c29.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x459a…97fcbacked Senators44c29.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63bf…d286backed Stars56c29.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1161…22f8backed Senators44c29.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e97…ced6backed Stars56c29.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0986…390dbacked Stars56c28.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3520…4955backed Senators42c27.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ac…ab7dbacked Stars58c27.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec2…04b8backed Stars56c27.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…7053backed Senators44c27.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce9…2016backed Stars57c26.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Stars56c26.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…0a4abacked Senators44c26.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a89…f7f8backed Senators39c25.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb3…a376backed Stars60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Stars57c24.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.072751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35fa…971dbacked Senators43c24.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2d…4b27backed Stars56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb067…4362backed Stars56c23.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cef…2db8backed Stars56c23.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af6…e86bbacked Senators44c22.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff6…d1e0backed Senators44c22.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1191…a7e8backed Stars57c22.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b5…0270backed Stars57c22.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd54b…2fb1backed Stars58c22.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…7616backed Stars56c21.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe737…0e86backed Stars56c20.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Stars55c20.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.344045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa2…406dbacked Stars58c20.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ac…0ac3backed Stars59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe455…05cabacked Stars56c20.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.