NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x568579a78757fa43211f5856c452951b12eac535350c90f2d99afc33b1869e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Kraken, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab10…9905backed Red Wings | 58c | 10,059$5,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…1a08backed Kraken | 42c | 10,047$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken | 38c | 3,507$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.96 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Wings | 62c | 2,470$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.75 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Kraken | 3c | 2,088$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…7c4bbacked Red Wings | 60c | 1,359$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 2c | 1,335$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 39c | 1,088$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.22 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…bdaebacked Kraken | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken | 39c | 768.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 60c | 528.22$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Red Wings | 58c | 513.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.55 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Red Wings | 59c | 509.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 41c | 499.89$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kraken | 41c | 499.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…839bbacked Red Wings | 59c | 322.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings | 59c | 300$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7317…32cfbacked Red Wings | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Red Wings | 79c | 277.06$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kraken | 5c | 260.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…d660backed Kraken | 40c | 259.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kraken | 40c | 256.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Red Wings | 63c | 250.36$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kraken | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…75f6backed Kraken | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Red Wings | 59c | 248.17$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken | 26c | 229.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 40c | 205.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kraken | 37c | 191.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 41c | 189.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…f445backed Kraken | 40c | 182.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kraken | 38c | 174.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kraken | 42c | 160.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Kraken | 37c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6e…f37fbacked Red Wings | 63c | 159.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Red Wings | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kraken | 39c | 153.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Red Wings | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kraken | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Red Wings | 63c | 72.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Red Wings | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b31ebacked Red Wings | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Red Wings | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Red Wings | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…fe40backed Kraken | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b3…deccbacked Kraken | 44c | 43.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Red Wings | 59c | 42.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…125fbacked Red Wings | 57c | 41.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7442…fdd3backed Kraken | 43c | 41.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…7ecfbacked Red Wings | 57c | 41.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e56…6896backed Red Wings | 55c | 41.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…523fbacked Kraken | 45c | 41.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…f435backed Kraken | 43c | 40.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…d4f7backed Kraken | 41c | 38.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…11ddbacked Red Wings | 57c | 38.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…1166backed Red Wings | 62c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…f3abbacked Kraken | 38c | 38.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…eea3backed Kraken | 42c | 38.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…8641backed Red Wings | 58c | 38.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…b376backed Kraken | 43c | 36.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…5291backed Red Wings | 57c | 36.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…9f6ebacked Kraken | 43c | 36.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…65f8backed Kraken | 43c | 35.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb8…416dbacked Red Wings | 58c | 35.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a84…4a3bbacked Kraken | 42c | 35.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…aa9dbacked Kraken | 41c | 35.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…e7b8backed Kraken | 43c | 34.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…feedbacked Red Wings | 57c | 34.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…e9edbacked Kraken | 41c | 34.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6389…ff05backed Red Wings | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Red Wings | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…fe11backed Kraken | 42c | 34.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Kraken | 39c | 33.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc77…8876backed Kraken | 41c | 33.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…0329backed Kraken | 43c | 33.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb22c…de0fbacked Red Wings | 57c | 33.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9232…dab7backed Red Wings | 61c | 32.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…0ecabacked Red Wings | 59c | 32.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…81fabacked Kraken | 42c | 31.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5af…5b07backed Kraken | 43c | 31.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…ecd4backed Red Wings | 57c | 31.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…3e8ebacked Red Wings | 58c | 31.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…9d44backed Kraken | 42c | 31.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…f2dabacked Red Wings | 57c | 31.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…3f07backed Kraken | 43c | 31.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9701…711bbacked Red Wings | 58c | 30.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…ee15backed Kraken | 43c | 30.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…4956backed Red Wings | 58c | 30.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…bec5backed Kraken | 42c | 30.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedc…c7adbacked Kraken | 40c | 29.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…aa11backed Red Wings | 57c | 29.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…8b00backed Kraken | 42c | 29.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…1b04backed Red Wings | 60c | 28.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…5657backed Kraken | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…fbf4backed Red Wings | 59c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.