TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Islanders, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe505…d18bbacked Islanders49c6,712$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,423.016357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Utah51c4,049$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.125552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders51c2,491$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.4486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders49c2,411$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.891,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Utah49c2,000$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.6985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Islanders34c1,408$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.4635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Islanders33c1,035$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.218744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Utah2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Utah75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Utah56c817.91$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Utah49c799.93$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9625340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders50c760$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Islanders48c750.46$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Utah55c750$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.9813361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah50c727$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Utah51c701.76$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x967f…3750backed Islanders55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x390f…9ef2backed Utah55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Utah52c648.24$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Islanders25c499.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.981233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Islanders43c452.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.321,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Islanders55c445.42$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.461,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Islanders55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.556953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah51c244.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.773,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders48c201.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Utah51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8e…fba1backed Utah55c182.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Utah51c166.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe3…bdfabacked Utah54c148.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8c…6c8ebacked Utah51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Islanders33c146.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.063754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Utah49c142.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9341851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed Utah52c137.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.731540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Utah74c134.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…726abacked Utah51c121.56$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd35…4ed5backed Islanders50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5243…dd69backed Utah51c105.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Islanders49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70a7…672bbacked Islanders49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed Utah51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Utah73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Islanders51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Islanders51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ac…25ecbacked Islanders49c97.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5fa…22adbacked Islanders49c93.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x174e…6dabbacked Islanders49c91.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c7…b836backed Islanders55c91.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.072268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Islanders46c88.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9173157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x925f…3ccabacked Islanders49c79.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Utah49c74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77f…5508backed Utah53c73.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee82…a0a3backed Utah51c70.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Utah50c68.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Utah53c67.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0219347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9053…cc67backed Utah51c66.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Utah49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c2…e2dabacked Islanders47c60.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Utah53c58.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.181471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6f1…504ebacked Utah51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Islanders52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2472448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f2…e6f1backed Utah51c46.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Islanders50c46.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.032958.6%17 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7270…7481backed Utah50c43.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cf…8a83backed Islanders50c43.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df8…377ebacked Utah51c43.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a4…f8bbbacked Islanders49c43.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+144.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x334b…c9d7backed Islanders45c42.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…9c1fbacked Islanders46c41.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…6258backed Utah53c41.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c5…4424backed Islanders50c40.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e61…8ba9backed Utah50c40.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Utah49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe742…36d2backed Utah51c39.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe556…9958backed Utah54c39.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Utah77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a74…88e8backed Islanders49c38.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d7…3439backed Utah50c37.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd21d…7221backed Utah50c36.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Utah50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea2…f2dabacked Utah52c35.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbfd…923dbacked Utah53c34.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb2b…93a3backed Islanders47c34.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb189…35ebbacked Utah51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders37c33.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x154f…97c9backed Utah51c32.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b6…47bfbacked Islanders49c32.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5822…8a32backed Islanders49c32.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ef…cabfbacked Islanders45c32.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…cbb0backed Utah55c32.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.681,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d1…0a4abacked Islanders46c30.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…0cf4backed Utah54c30.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…1e24backed Islanders49c30.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47fc…48a5backed Utah54c30.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba6…b46cbacked Islanders46c30.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94c3…7c3fbacked Islanders49c29.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f8…6eb0backed Islanders49c29.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e49…d997backed Utah51c28.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e7…3b36backed Islanders50c28.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.