TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb12…7c4bbacked Islanders52c2,005$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Senators49c1,900$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.2720147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Islanders51c1,697$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.5931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e5…5e20backed Senators48c1,300$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Islanders52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators48c982.56$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Islanders52c790$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Islanders10c762.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9431334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a30…1067backed Senators48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.691,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Senators48c297.49$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators48c276.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ed…2ad9backed Senators76c264.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0501…1c28backed Islanders53c252.53$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84d…9b2cbacked Senators47c251.06$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4726…8d0bbacked Islanders55c222.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7608…119ebacked Senators47c222.17$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Islanders53c205$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Islanders51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Islanders52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6e…f1d6backed Islanders52c169.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.392343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders24c155.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.361,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators66c152.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.413,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Islanders28c143.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Senators72c133.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3713655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Islanders53c129.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators45c117.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.071,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Senators45c99.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders39c86.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Senators46c76.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders53c70.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Islanders53c67.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0347249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4736…f9b2backed Islanders54c55.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe327…0c8abacked Senators47c53.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Islanders52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Islanders54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f2f…9645backed Senators46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…9826backed Islanders54c41.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Senators42c40.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4462944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e21…36c9backed Islanders59c39.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Islanders54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204050%20 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf440…2447backed Islanders53c36.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4454…a3cfbacked Islanders55c36.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.231030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x020b…44a8backed Senators47c36.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+149.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd23c…6fb6backed Islanders53c36.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…13cdbacked Senators47c36.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee95…4b3ebacked Senators47c35.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Islanders52c34.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1910941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ac…e4c5backed Senators47c34.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42e3…1ad5backed Islanders54c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6e…5d2cbacked Senators47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x010b…d744backed Senators47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a3…91f4backed Islanders54c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x020c…6a33backed Islanders55c33.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Islanders53c33.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.459251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…b419backed Senators46c32.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…59c5backed Senators46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5a…e206backed Islanders54c32.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7638…00d9backed Islanders53c31.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29d…aecabacked Senators47c31.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be6…cb69backed Senators47c31.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe220…5fd7backed Senators46c31.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca66…fae8backed Islanders55c30.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa5…f8efbacked Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917c…3072backed Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfe…7045backed Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d16…2d33backed Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x776b…5166backed Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd7a…42eabacked Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf881…9f6bbacked Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d6…f0a6backed Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a9…864dbacked Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe5…152bbacked Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…853ebacked Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d12…e3d1backed Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…06e3backed Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd632…b081backed Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb890…cfa3backed Islanders54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3a…5bf4backed Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c6…bf32backed Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b07…0da2backed Senators47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x084f…00d3backed Islanders54c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Islanders54c29.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1519057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c23…619bbacked Senators41c29.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4023…2772backed Senators47c29.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349a…33a0backed Senators43c28.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…aa0dbacked Islanders52c27.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b0…ea20backed Senators48c27.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80bd…be8cbacked Islanders52c27.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f2…793dbacked Senators46c27.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9779…6fb5backed Islanders52c26.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9fa…37eabacked Senators47c25.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…584dbacked Islanders52c25.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a0…4f71backed Senators46c24.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e4…3c6fbacked Senators46c24.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabbf…d202backed Islanders54c24.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.250%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ce7…ad4fbacked Senators46c24.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10bc…2d70backed Islanders55c23.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.