MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7716c59a7ce43484d815a3ca6170efac254fe5f8df21028c7dc10d3e2a82bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 11,689$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 11,586$7,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.92 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 2,593$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 1,950$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.27 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 873.42$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.43 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 706.2$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.51 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Texas Rangers | 71c | 600$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 500$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 499$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 319$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 210.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 196$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 126.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 56.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 35.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 27.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…380bbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.