MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b1ed923f4894aa91cdecac93e754c6dc2625bc3a305a4e7d37608965eef0a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Chicago White Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 4,589$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.7 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 2,588$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.42 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 1,523$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.36 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…8f85backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 658.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…9c51backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 430.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652a…fd23backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 406.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 382.96$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…4e88backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…0b10backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 214.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 107$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 37.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.