WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs. Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ef2e8e7cef662bc6024973cc42a9b58f7a6d1b1d4794809577fd3f22fc56ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Wings, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 9c | 10,150$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wings | 6c | 5,638$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.39 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 5c | 5,225$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.49 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wings | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wings | 9c | 3,741$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wings | 5c | 2,995$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 9c | 1,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wings | 4c | 1,070$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Wings | 11c | 871.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wings | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Wings | 6c | 786.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Wings | 6c | 723.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Wings | 7c | 619.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked Wings | 9c | 611.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 8c | 533.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wings | 4c | 423.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Wings | 6c | 367.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wings | 9c | 344.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Wings | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Wings | 8c | 182.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wings | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.