MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf854a15db6e2ec0b18659932f15a4ce68f6ef0881f6d815ac470b1befa08b2b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Chicago White Sox, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0317…6289backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 10,685$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,021$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 2,600$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.99 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 2,580$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 2,345$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Boston Red Sox | 74c | 1,169$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 982.81$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.58 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 624.45$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Chicago White Sox | 24c | 585.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 408.75$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 352.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 340$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 74c | 242.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 216.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 158.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 129.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 129.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 53.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 51.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 45.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 43.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.