Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Auburn vs. Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce62cf83bd1246c24b03878c4081b038abfacb29353d6c270fd3530525f33f4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburnof Auburn, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Auburn | 70c | 18,147$12,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Alabama | 34c | 16,584$5,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,664.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Alabama | 57c | 10,758$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.14 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Auburn | 43c | 7,840$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.22 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Auburn | 59c | 4,404$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Alabama | 26c | 2,753$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.1 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Auburn | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Auburn | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…6ec7backed Alabama | 61c | 1,314$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Auburn | 63c | 1,000$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Alabama | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Auburn | 74c | 586.22$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Auburn | 48c | 564.28$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Alabama | 53c | 309.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…c344backed Auburn | 73c | 274.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Auburn | 50c | 271.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Auburn | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…3eeebacked Auburn | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Alabama | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Alabama | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Alabama | 57c | 90.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…106bbacked Alabama | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Alabama | 55c | 58.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…de6fbacked Auburn | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…18ddbacked Alabama | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Auburn | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Auburn | 80c | 42.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…63f8backed Alabama | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…b50abacked Auburn | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Alabama | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Auburn | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…1b73backed Auburn | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…80d3backed Alabama | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Alabama | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.