NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b9758dcac0363ac92acef032919288108042dfdff35acff03b1c4a1000a0ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lightning | 9c | 1,135$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lightning | 43c | 1,101$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.19 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Lightning | 49c | 1,014$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.77 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Panthers | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.45 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Lightning | 47c | 664.43$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.68 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…ea54backed Lightning | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Panthers | 55c | 550$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.6 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers | 52c | 539.51$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.96 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 10c | 491.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 51c | 470.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Lightning | 49c | 407.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Panthers | 52c | 366.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 6c | 312$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Panthers | 54c | 290.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Panthers | 51c | 255$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.15 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lightning | 36c | 248.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Lightning | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Panthers | 73c | 205.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 6c | 169.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…4d30backed Panthers | 52c | 159.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Lightning | 9c | 154.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Panthers | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 47c | 144.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 49c | 139.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 51c | 127.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 51c | 116.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…ab41backed Panthers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…50a5backed Lightning | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…adabbacked Lightning | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Lightning | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…c6e2backed Panthers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…d2a3backed Lightning | 49c | 75.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64cf…58dabacked Panthers | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Lightning | 45c | 67.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…81cabacked Panthers | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b7…c124backed Lightning | 50c | 64.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Panthers | 52c | 58.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…31efbacked Panthers | 51c | 57.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…8d4dbacked Lightning | 49c | 57.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…1b88backed Lightning | 48c | 51.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Panthers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…f96bbacked Lightning | 49c | 46.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…f8c2backed Panthers | 51c | 45.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…89efbacked Lightning | 49c | 45.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…1221backed Panthers | 51c | 45.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…f74cbacked Panthers | 51c | 45.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…5e32backed Lightning | 47c | 44.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…6b21backed Lightning | 48c | 44.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…61b1backed Panthers | 52c | 43.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…aaa8backed Lightning | 49c | 42.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…5764backed Lightning | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…8d51backed Panthers | 52c | 41.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…75c6backed Panthers | 52c | 41.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Lightning | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…b793backed Lightning | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Lightning | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Lightning | 49c | 40.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…a0eebacked Lightning | 48c | 39.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…6782backed Lightning | 49c | 39.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Panthers | 52c | 39.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…dd09backed Panthers | 52c | 39.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc737…d337backed Lightning | 48c | 39.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…70a5backed Panthers | 52c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6143…0fe3backed Panthers | 52c | 39.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379e…a0a7backed Lightning | 48c | 39.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…f8cebacked Panthers | 52c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…544cbacked Panthers | 51c | 36.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…7950backed Lightning | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260e…0c83backed Panthers | 51c | 36.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…a084backed Lightning | 49c | 35.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc18…5c22backed Panthers | 51c | 35.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…d427backed Lightning | 49c | 35.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5f97backed Panthers | 51c | 35.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43a…5dcdbacked Lightning | 49c | 33.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…9605backed Panthers | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…a27fbacked Panthers | 51c | 32.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…adcebacked Lightning | 49c | 32.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…f0d8backed Lightning | 49c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…2807backed Panthers | 52c | 31.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…99aebacked Lightning | 44c | 31.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…e110backed Panthers | 56c | 31.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…0534backed Lightning | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…c813backed Panthers | 51c | 30.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…0704backed Lightning | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…b633backed Panthers | 51c | 29.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…2872backed Panthers | 51c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…3713backed Panthers | 51c | 27.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f37…7d2dbacked Panthers | 51c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…fa72backed Panthers | 51c | 27.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…68b2backed Panthers | 55c | 25.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…f6adbacked Lightning | 45c | 25.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…b38fbacked Panthers | 51c | 25.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…11c2backed Panthers | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…a5debacked Lightning | 49c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…a408backed Lightning | 48c | 23.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…c478backed Lightning | 49c | 23.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…75b1backed Lightning | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…3ceebacked Panthers | 51c | 22.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.