WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs. Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc65b28e6278bbb276307da7cf7e866b0d2dec63814edfe227f9d0a1db2fbce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Sun, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sun | 9c | 3,722$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Sky | 70c | 3,572$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Sky | 54c | 2,179$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.42 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 46c | 2,152$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sun | 44c | 2,015$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.24 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Sun | 1c | 1,905$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Sun | 15c | 1,285$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Sky | 55c | 1,271$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.83 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sun | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Sun | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sky | 54c | 929.81$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.48 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sky | 54c | 884.93$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sun | 5c | 840$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sun | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 46c | 678.15$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.82 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Sun | 46c | 661.56$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Sky | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Sun | 37c | 383.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sky | 54c | 365.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 46c | 216.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sky | 55c | 209.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sky | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Sky | 56c | 179.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Sky | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…a2b4backed Sky | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sun | 45c | 109.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Sun | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Sky | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Sun | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Sun | 25c | 80.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…5c6bbacked Sun | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Sun | 36c | 65.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sun | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sun | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Sky | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Sky | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sky | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b6f5backed Sky | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.