WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs. Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6988f1050a6f4a8ff82d730524869f22a682f14eb8e987e8ea2f59450812c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Sun, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 11c | 10,079$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.69 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Sun | 11c | 3,353$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sun | 11c | 1,798$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sun | 12c | 1,627$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Sun | 13c | 1,175$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sun | 12c | 1,081$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Sun | 12c | 1,046$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Sun | 9c | 941.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 11c | 898.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sun | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sun | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Sun | 22c | 548.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Sun | 10c | 501$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Sun | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sun | 9c | 458.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Sun | 13c | 351$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sun | 8c | 311.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Sun | 11c | 195.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 11c | 181.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Sun | 7c | 156.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sun | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Sun | 16c | 115.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 13c | 110.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Sun | 11c | 108.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sun | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Sun | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sun | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Sun | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…8970backed Sun | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.