Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd97987211d5c576d5f43943e20448ba326827841099e0cf7debb85c68d384520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Vanderbilt, Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Tennessee | 75c | 3,936$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.41 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Vanderbilt | 26c | 3,386$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.99 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Vanderbilt | 13c | 690$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf910…cba2backed Vanderbilt | 63c | 649.9$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…eae5backed Vanderbilt | 35c | 364$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…233cbacked Tennessee | 65c | 284$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Vanderbilt | 53c | 204.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Tennessee | 50c | 151.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…a7eebacked Vanderbilt | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…0339backed Vanderbilt | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…baacbacked Tennessee | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…7738backed Tennessee | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…64c4backed Vanderbilt | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…c061backed Tennessee | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…c8e2backed Tennessee | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…f0f0backed Tennessee | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…d1a1backed Vanderbilt | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…27ebbacked Vanderbilt | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Vanderbilt | 27c | 49.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…c33ebacked Tennessee | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65c…136fbacked Tennessee | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…14aabacked Tennessee | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…ae5bbacked Vanderbilt | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…8ecabacked Vanderbilt | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…4ed6backed Tennessee | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…02acbacked Tennessee | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…fb56backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…90b5backed Tennessee | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11da…14f7backed Tennessee | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ce…5621backed Tennessee | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…d214backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…6496backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…ab67backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2220backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Tennessee | 61c | 23.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…d1dfbacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…3a11backed Tennessee | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf2…d9b3backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…1c06backed Tennessee | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc275…8879backed Tennessee | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…d1ebbacked Tennessee | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.