MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4479fe7530e056749254f6ddc9135bab1ce12ce18550400cd2bd2366992cc33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof San Francisco Giants, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 15,474$10,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.41 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 7,807$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.83 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 5,448$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.95 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 4,541$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.15 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 4,481$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.29 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 2,204$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.39 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 2,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 2,165$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.26 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,871$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,523$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 1,446$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 900$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 261.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 234.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 174.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 173.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Francisco Giants | 6c | 160$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 147.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 122$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 87.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 84.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 74.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 46.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.