College Football · resolved market
West Virginia vs. Kansas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fff44c364796c0294f7c44249114a508d89c5ad36d90046fc4141753aaf119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansasof West Virginia, Kansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked West Virginia | 20c | 13,095$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.7 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked West Virginia | 19c | 10,111$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.09 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Kansas | 80c | 3,629$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.79 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed West Virginia | 18c | 3,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked West Virginia | 18c | 2,524$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.4 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed West Virginia | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed West Virginia | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked West Virginia | 19c | 687.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas | 79c | 545.09$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed West Virginia | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kansas | 79c | 420.89$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed West Virginia | 19c | 265$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed West Virginia | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Kansas | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed West Virginia | 20c | 120.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked West Virginia | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…cc1ebacked West Virginia | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked West Virginia | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked West Virginia | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed West Virginia | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked West Virginia | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked West Virginia | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Kansas | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kansas | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed West Virginia | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked West Virginia | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…07f5backed West Virginia | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Kansas | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Virginia vs. Kansasthis page
- Spread: Kansas (-12.5)Kansas won
- West Virginia vs. Kansas: O/U 54.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.