MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe396074a99b074429437fdaa21cff4695c4b20204c0e345c428692e794b30d65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a38…2904backed Tigers | 53c | 31,335$16,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,607.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…82abbacked Guardians | 47c | 29,650$13,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,714.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tigers | 53c | 20,596$10,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,916.04 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Guardians | 47c | 14,980$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,939.35 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 74c | 14,839$10,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 32c | 10,951$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Guardians | 46c | 8,240$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.39 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 49c | 7,764$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Guardians | 46c | 6,848$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.07 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Tigers | 52c | 6,732$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.86 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers | 54c | 3,212$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.61 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 51c | 2,644$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.1 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 46c | 2,473$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Tigers | 52c | 1,791$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.41 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Tigers | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers | 51c | 1,720$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.15 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Tigers | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.98 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…137bbacked Guardians | 47c | 1,685$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Tigers | 56c | 1,506$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 40c | 1,391$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.29 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 32c | 1,282$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Tigers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Tigers | 20c | 888$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 52c | 864.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers | 50c | 864$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 66c | 855$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…bfaebacked Tigers | 32c | 847.06$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 54c | 723.55$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 51c | 699.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 55c | 686.96$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.83 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers | 50c | 627$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…356abacked Tigers | 23c | 577$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Guardians | 72c | 539.32$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 73c | 525.25$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers | 26c | 473.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Tigers | 55c | 452.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Tigers | 38c | 423.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Tigers | 28c | 409.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Guardians | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Tigers | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Tigers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…6f78backed Tigers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 54c | 366.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Tigers | 53c | 310.22$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…626cbacked Tigers | 20c | 302.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 78c | 255.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 33c | 251.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Tigers | 54c | 222.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Tigers | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Tigers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Guardians | 47c | 160.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b486backed Guardians | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 47c | 123.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Tigers | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…d9f3backed Guardians | 48c | 108.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…49fabacked Tigers | 53c | 101.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…64abbacked Guardians | 48c | 101.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Tigers | 53c | 101.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 47c | 100.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Tigers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Tigers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed Guardians | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…ac8ebacked Tigers | 54c | 99.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17b…1d31backed Guardians | 48c | 96.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tigers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…d6dbbacked Tigers | 53c | 89.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Tigers | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…1a7abacked Tigers | 54c | 85.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2d…10a0backed Tigers | 54c | 85.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…6f1ebacked Guardians | 48c | 85.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers | 35c | 83.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 34c | 81.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Tigers | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…6b7dbacked Guardians | 48c | 74.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Guardians | 72c | 68.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tigers | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Guardians | 73c | 54.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Tigers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 52c | 48.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Tigers | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.