TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Diana Shnaider vs Belinda Bencic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Belinda Bencicof Diana Shnaider, Belinda Bencic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,445 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Diana Shnaider21c10,535$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.882,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Diana Shnaider23c7,500$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72574743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Belinda Bencic77c6,107$4,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.887,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Belinda Bencic69c4,600$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.7712442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Belinda Bencic69c4,317$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.3524557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Diana Shnaider31c3,257$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.511,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Diana Shnaider31c2,400$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73246932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Diana Shnaider31c2,300$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.9923945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Belinda Bencic80c2,200$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407064.3%45 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Diana Shnaider10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Belinda Bencic70c1,250$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36913959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Diana Shnaider25c1,249$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7627836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Diana Shnaider26c1,224$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3850731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Belinda Bencic71c1,222$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5845457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Diana Shnaider13c1,175$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.447,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Diana Shnaider31c934.95$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.941,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Belinda Bencic69c835.38$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9756757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Belinda Bencic70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2912066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Diana Shnaider32c664.65$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.32,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Belinda Bencic69c652.64$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6453058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e1…86b5backed Diana Shnaider9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Diana Shnaider30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Diana Shnaider30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Diana Shnaider32c474.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.011,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Diana Shnaider21c442$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8213351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Belinda Bencic71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Belinda Bencic69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12459348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Diana Shnaider29c370.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.47,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Diana Shnaider31c358.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.637,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Diana Shnaider14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Belinda Bencic68c348.6$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5568350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Diana Shnaider30c339.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.031,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Diana Shnaider31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…f272backed Belinda Bencic68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.128353%44 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Diana Shnaider31c287.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0378152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Diana Shnaider31c275$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2531332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Diana Shnaider19c263.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Diana Shnaider32c255.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6335040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Belinda Bencic79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.164654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Diana Shnaider30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Belinda Bencic80c242$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Diana Shnaider15c220$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.670729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Belinda Bencic70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2923965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Diana Shnaider31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Diana Shnaider19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Belinda Bencic68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6441060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Diana Shnaider23c183.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.033,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ff…9401backed Belinda Bencic69c159.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.423366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Belinda Bencic70c155.54$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.668659.3%51 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Diana Shnaider17c149.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.154,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Belinda Bencic68c147$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0438268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Belinda Bencic69c145.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.251,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Belinda Bencic69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.951,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Belinda Bencic69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9357349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Diana Shnaider31c140.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Belinda Bencic68c140$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Diana Shnaider31c132.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.224448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Diana Shnaider12c101$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.126645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38df…4609backed Diana Shnaider32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Belinda Bencic69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Diana Shnaider23c97.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.372,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Diana Shnaider31c97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0755241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Diana Shnaider21c88.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6523248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Diana Shnaider21c88.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.933,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Diana Shnaider31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.661,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Diana Shnaider17c80.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.442,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Belinda Bencic69c65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1511961.3%73 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Diana Shnaider31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Diana Shnaider31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Diana Shnaider31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Diana Shnaider31c41.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Belinda Bencic68c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4828764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Belinda Bencic79c36.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4670148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Diana Shnaider31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2332842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1951…7542backed Belinda Bencic69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37566.7%50 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Belinda Bencic69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ad…9d51backed Belinda Bencic69c28.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Belinda Bencic68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Belinda Bencic68c17.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd187…6e50backed Belinda Bencic70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.