Tennis · resolved market
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Giulio Zeppieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c855a9c0ae8e3c1201f14713aef1b4263b524ea36a6c86eb93eab4759f1ee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Manuel Cerundoloof Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Giulio Zeppieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Giulio Zeppieri | 10c | 3,546$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 79c | 2,658$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Giulio Zeppieri | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Giulio Zeppieri | 25c | 1,559$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.37 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Giulio Zeppieri | 22c | 1,439$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.22 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 76c | 1,232$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Giulio Zeppieri | 6c | 977.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Giulio Zeppieri | 18c | 951.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Giulio Zeppieri | 22c | 528.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 80c | 504.29$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Giulio Zeppieri | 7c | 465.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Giulio Zeppieri | 24c | 451.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Giulio Zeppieri | 24c | 447.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Giulio Zeppieri | 26c | 418.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 379.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 74c | 345.52$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Giulio Zeppieri | 14c | 300.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Giulio Zeppieri | 24c | 251.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 79c | 248.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 224.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Giulio Zeppieri | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 77c | 147.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 76c | 129.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 127$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 75c | 104.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 75c | 99.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 98.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…82e6backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Giulio Zeppieri | 25c | 64.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 51.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Giulio Zeppieri | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Giulio Zeppieri | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9a50backed Giulio Zeppieri | 23c | 46.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 44.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…4688backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…a336backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 24.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 80c | 17.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 78c | 14.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Giulio Zeppierithis page
- Cerundolo vs. Zeppieri: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs ZeppieriCerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.