F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri finish in 2nd place at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32002036d6fa81dcf715d5775dfe7ce1537c46b6c555de94c884c92c3c78beef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb301…9845backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…abc2backed No | 75c | 875$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3215…111abacked Yes | 25c | 705$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a5…5be0backed No | 75c | 545$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…7865backed No | 75c | 310$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 32c | 235$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…da90backed Yes | 70c | 187.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 36c | 176.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…d804backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…6f8ebacked No | 75c | 145$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa169…a6a9backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…d09abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 26c | 79.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 51c | 44.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri finish in 2nd place at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?this page
- Will Lando Norris finish in 2nd place at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish in 2nd place at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.