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Champions League · resolved market

Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,631 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbba2…24febacked No63c16,428$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,078.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No64c8,118$5,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.1197332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes25c6,475$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.457133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes37c5,046$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No79c4,673$3,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.4846533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes37c3,195$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.3770446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c2,617$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.3863137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes39c2,531$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.0918141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes40c2,124$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.69945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No75c2,119$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.796144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes32c2,018$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.6354239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c1,634$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.0728747.4%136 W · 151 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes26c1,612$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.513040%12 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No62c1,145$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.15667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes37c1,144$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2839042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No76c1,089$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.892070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes37c1,087$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9657347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Yes40c1,015$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014020.7%29 W · 111 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes37c925.82$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.5449751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes37c919.2$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.119447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes14c906.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3951746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes37c906.36$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.536744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No71c905.8$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1711742.7%50 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes37c851.17$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5235746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes38c734.74$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.21346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes41c714.29$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c682.28$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.912,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes37c675$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7518434.8%64 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No75c640$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.226145.6%119 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes39c602.97$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.162740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Yes40c576.75$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes38c564.26$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.112236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c507.31$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7161741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No73c469$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.747737.7%29 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No72c437.78$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.569442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed Yes19c409.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No74c405.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.392763%17 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes36c402$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.722263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes36c386.11$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1392147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93e0…b274backed Yes9c366.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes39c334.59$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8739043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes28c325.04$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3132931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No74c301.35$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.351957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No74c300$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777643.4%33 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12318550.3%93 W · 92 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes43c283.77$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8310945%49 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes39c266.64$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4710953.2%58 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes39c265.05$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.371741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes37c251.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7116852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b63…ea16backed Yes39c245.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes42c238.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.353756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No80c208.05$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2213349.6%66 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No74c206$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.562441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c200.37$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4772548.6%352 W · 373 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764050%20 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7823145.9%106 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x521b…db60backed Yes40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No74c198.5$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.625549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b2…34b5backed Yes36c195.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes39c186$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8417144.4%76 W · 95 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd3…ac03backed No61c175$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes28c173.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid+33.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c173.24$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7141743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Yes39c165.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.234542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes17c164.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes41c155$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.559349.5%46 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes39c153.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.994831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No60c153$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.23548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes36c152.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes38c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.255642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No76c142$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.419442.8%83 W · 111 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes39c141$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.994628.3%13 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes35c137.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No73c131.77$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7718452.7%97 W · 87 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No58c129.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.243458.8%20 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+93.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed No63c121$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.771154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No76c120.09$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3810546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Yes10c119.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes36c109.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.442444.1%187 W · 237 L-22.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa8c…9f62backed Yes41c109.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No74c109.42$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.143036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+122.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes38c108$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0410547.6%50 W · 55 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No62c103.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No60c102$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.83871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed No66c101$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.351346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes33c100.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0412846.9%60 W · 68 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402075%15 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.