Champions League · resolved market
Will NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb151ed720f668d2126cf394f24ea16e6ecb131860ae7acfc4dee2ad84e95b61a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 59c | 8,732$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.29 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 69c | 6,084$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.01 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 5,771$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.34 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 4,658$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.28 | 617 | 41.5%256 W · 361 L | -21.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 2,772$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.4 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 70c | 2,688$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.35 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 29c | 1,953$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.17 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 1,944$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.8 | 497 | 51.9%258 W · 239 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 894.01$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.81 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 836.75$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.72 | 357 | 46.8%167 W · 190 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 71c | 655.69$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.54 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 634.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.43 | 358 | 32.7%117 W · 241 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 66c | 630.54$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.26 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 46c | 555.85$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 30c | 516.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 422.3$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 542 | 39.5%214 W · 328 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 31c | 347.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…f90ebacked No | 71c | 332$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 30c | 295.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 30c | 276.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 71c | 223$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.33 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…590bbacked Yes | 42c | 201.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 58c | 177.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…10f2backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 154.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 704 | 46.3%326 W · 378 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 149.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 303 | 45.9%139 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 57c | 145.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 71c | 126.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 55c | 119.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 118.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 465 | 33.8%157 W · 308 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 58c | 114$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…3555backed Yes | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 27c | 80.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 54c | 67.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 74c | 66.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 30c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 56c | 52.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 76c | 49.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 73c | 41.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 29c | 37.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 31.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 725 | 48.6%352 W · 373 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…56d5backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…2e68backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?this page
- Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-26?No won
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.