Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf602cf3bd6990a25dac722b05ed1c4bc02eff1e15f4999e4c5a583eabba8ceb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 5c | 1,295$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e42…4938backed Yes | 33c | 1,033$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.54 | 388 | 30.2%117 W · 271 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…46efbacked Yes | 49c | 731.14$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.14 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 346$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 56c | 315.18$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 14c | 313.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 282.69$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…ee2fbacked No | 5c | 271.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +12.2wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 39c | 270.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 41c | 269.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 42c | 243.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.19 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 219.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 68c | 194$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…55a0backed Yes | 59c | 167.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 135$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 132.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 57c | 118.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 116.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 53c | 102.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…e20abacked Yes | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 46c | 101.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 100.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…c9a7backed No | 14c | 88.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 410 | 33.7%138 W · 272 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…1cbebacked Yes | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 84.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 59c | 79.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 30c | 78.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed No | 19c | 74.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 67c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 43c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 21c | 72.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9447…48d6backed Yes | 21c | 60.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 38c | 50.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 29c | 50.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 25c | 48.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 42c | 45.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 38c | 43.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 47c | 41.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 41.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 37c | 39.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 61c | 35.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed No | 57c | 34.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 31c | 33.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 36c | 29.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…eae7backed Yes | 79c | 29.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…1d52backed Yes | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 36c | 28.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…a782backed Yes | 46c | 28.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 515 | 37.5%193 W · 322 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 46c | 27.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 25.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 62c | 22.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 57c | 20.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 57c | 20.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…6747backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1f…5578backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 55c | 18.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 17.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.