Music · resolved market
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f496a60a0e2c70ab31a94ffe4e58113c422ad49919dc2af3026f5c60fddcde1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6e4…8cf3backed Yes | 50c | 689.23$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 14c | 300.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 69c | 289.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 49c | 283.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 25c | 253.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.29 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 50c | 249.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 21c | 193$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 125.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…4186backed Yes | 13c | 115.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +674.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 108.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 97.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…5e19backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…c465backed Yes | 23c | 63.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 47.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 34c | 40.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3b89backed Yes | 30c | 32.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 25.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…2325backed No | 57c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k?this page
- Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k?No won
- Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 200k and 225k?No won
- Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k?No won
- Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 250k and 275k?No won
- Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 275k and 300k?No won
- Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.