MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf56e8b1ee706333cc309416122915e9b1c6ebae759c3d84ba3b66d9301d4a8fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Nationals, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 62c | 9,477$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.88 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 37c | 7,500$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.15 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals | 64c | 5,431$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.25 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 63c | 4,329$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.91 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 63c | 3,194$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.16 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.95 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 38c | 2,836$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.18 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 17c | 2,734$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.75 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 63c | 2,636$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 65c | 2,444$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.26 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 35c | 2,198$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.23 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 37c | 1,869$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.39 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 37c | 1,804$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.59 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Nationals | 38c | 1,634$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.91 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Royals | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 5c | 1,116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nationals | 9c | 1,107$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Nationals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Nationals | 13c | 999.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…e1f3backed Royals | 62c | 956$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef3…f121backed Nationals | 38c | 942$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…9076backed Nationals | 38c | 908$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…98afbacked Royals | 62c | 894$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 5c | 862.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 36c | 850$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 37c | 824$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.88 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 37c | 782$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 30c | 780.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 38c | 751.47$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Royals | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Royals | 64c | 628$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.08 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Nationals | 28c | 600$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 37c | 586.35$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 16c | 580.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 37c | 523$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Nationals | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Royals | 78c | 485$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 37c | 371.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…c720backed Royals | 64c | 364.06$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 5c | 350.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 62c | 320.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…739bbacked Nationals | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 38c | 299.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 37c | 261.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Royals | 65c | 253.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 62c | 248.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 18c | 225$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…9b23backed Nationals | 37c | 201.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Royals | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 8c | 185.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Royals | 64c | 180.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…fc16backed Nationals | 37c | 180.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…4596backed Nationals | 37c | 162.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Royals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…a7aebacked Nationals | 38c | 114.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Royals | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Nationals | 15c | 104.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc379…362abacked Royals | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Royals | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Nationals | 39c | 97.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…70b5backed Royals | 64c | 96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…5283backed Nationals | 37c | 90.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…3281backed Royals | 64c | 88.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…a768backed Royals | 64c | 87.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…6d53backed Nationals | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…d2a3backed Royals | 64c | 86.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5e7cbacked Nationals | 37c | 83.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…19febacked Royals | 64c | 83.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…f2cebacked Nationals | 37c | 79.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Nationals | 39c | 75.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 38c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…b4e3backed Royals | 64c | 71.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…f2b7backed Nationals | 37c | 69.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Nationals | 39c | 68.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Royals | 62c | 65.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…1b67backed Nationals | 40c | 65.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…b0bdbacked Royals | 64c | 59.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Royals | 64c | 59.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Royals | 65c | 51.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nationals | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…5ea0backed Royals | 64c | 46.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.