Tennis · resolved market
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Alex Molcan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6711e77cd12d12081e621386e16919baa4c2ddb7e174536564cea05fe31e3021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano Travagliaof Stefano Travaglia, Alex Molcan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,973 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefano Travaglia | 80c | 8,382$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…a675backed Alex Molcan | 29c | 6,914$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Molcan | 17c | 4,928$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.81 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 60c | 4,904$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.31 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Alex Molcan | 15c | 4,427$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stefano Travaglia | 77c | 2,940$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Alex Molcan | 39c | 2,464$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.06 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 1,561$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.24 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alex Molcan | 4c | 1,369$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Travaglia | 61c | 1,361$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.68 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Alex Molcan | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…d09bbacked Alex Molcan | 50c | 948.2$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Alex Molcan | 42c | 715.89$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.84 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Stefano Travaglia | 57c | 685.54$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.54 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alex Molcan | 16c | 647.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Molcan | 42c | 595.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Alex Molcan | 50c | 514.55$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Stefano Travaglia | 59c | 511.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.66 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 443.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 402$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Molcan | 36c | 399.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 69c | 360.52$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 354.71$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 350.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Stefano Travaglia | 57c | 349.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Stefano Travaglia | 52c | 327.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan | 42c | 312.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 306.93$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Alex Molcan | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stefano Travaglia | 75c | 280.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 265$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Stefano Travaglia | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Alex Molcan | 51c | 247.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Molcan | 46c | 237.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 224.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 221.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Alex Molcan | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Alex Molcan | 33c | 211.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alex Molcan | 39c | 202.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alex Molcan | 9c | 202.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Alex Molcan | 43c | 201.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Stefano Travaglia | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Stefano Travaglia | 57c | 139.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Stefano Travaglia | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Stefano Travaglia | 59c | 127.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alex Molcan | 44c | 127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Alex Molcan | 47c | 126.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Molcan | 42c | 124.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Molcan | 43c | 118.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Alex Molcan | 51c | 110.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Alex Molcan | 42c | 108.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Stefano Travaglia | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Stefano Travaglia | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Molcan | 47c | 98.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Stefano Travaglia | 60c | 96.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…c243backed Stefano Travaglia | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Alex Molcan | 48c | 92.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Stefano Travaglia | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Stefano Travaglia | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Stefano Travaglia | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Alex Molcan | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Stefano Travaglia | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefano Travaglia | 52c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 53.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Molcan | 47c | 52.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Alex Molcan | 41c | 51.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Stefano Travaglia | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Alex Molcan | 42c | 49.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alex Molcan | 40c | 45.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Stefano Travaglia | 57c | 43.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Alex Molcan | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Stefano Travaglia | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Stefano Travaglia | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Stefano Travaglia | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stefano Travaglia | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Alex Molcan | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Molcan | 42c | 38.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Alex Molcan | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Stefano Travaglia | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379e…06c7backed Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Stefano Travaglia | 75c | 29.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Stefano Travaglia | 59c | 22.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Stefano Travaglia | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stefano Travaglia | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Stefano Travaglia | 59c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Stefano Travaglia | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Alex Molcanthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Travaglia vs MolcanTravaglia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.