CS2 · resolved market
Valorant: TL vs EDG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1e9a2ab19f83162a9afe5c15493de752032400ed8a2894e4bda29cf9add47c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLof TL, EDG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed TL | 62c | 11,544$7,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.84 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed EDG | 39c | 6,524$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.48 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed EDG | 42c | 5,555$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.1 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed TL | 58c | 5,555$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.1 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed EDG | 38c | 2,802$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.81 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed EDG | 50c | 2,585$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.62 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked EDG | 38c | 2,150$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.94 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TL | 62c | 777$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed EDG | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed TL | 31c | 500$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.42 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed TL | 64c | 450$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked EDG | 46c | 372.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked EDG | 45c | 336.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed TL | 60c | 333.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed EDG | 37c | 308.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed EDG | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked EDG | 40c | 215.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed EDG | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked TL | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked EDG | 52c | 175.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed TL | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked TL | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed EDG | 38c | 128.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked TL | 65c | 124.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked EDG | 44c | 117.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed EDG | 59c | 116.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…f629backed EDG | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed EDG | 55c | 64.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked EDG | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked EDG | 38c | 32.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed EDG | 71c | 27.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 211 | 56.9%120 W · 91 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…31cfbacked EDG | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.