Tennis · resolved market
Korea Open: Diana Shnaider vs Catherine McNally
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c18894be6a38c28f0eb889345af9fbf438afd97a52531509eff0128ec27931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shnaiderof Shnaider, McNally
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed McNally | 44c | 12,624$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.19 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shnaider | 55c | 9,842$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,424.12 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Shnaider | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Shnaider | 62c | 1,620$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.85 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed McNally | 51c | 1,236$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed McNally | 56c | 1,195$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.84 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Shnaider | 41c | 999.2$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.2 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked McNally | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed McNally | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shnaider | 61c | 527.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked McNally | 37c | 393.62$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Shnaider | 58c | 334$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Shnaider | 40c | 303.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked McNally | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed McNally | 44c | 229.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed McNally | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Shnaider | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Shnaider | 58c | 137.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Shnaider | 59c | 132.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed McNally | 57c | 121.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed McNally | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked McNally | 49c | 102.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked McNally | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Shnaider | 55c | 91.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Shnaider | 63c | 70.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Shnaider | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed McNally | 32c | 57.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed McNally | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed McNally | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Shnaider | 67c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.