Tennis · resolved market
Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs David Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065779cdff5511f1d55087561a191ee457421bacdaeaad916973495f5821caab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vukicof Vukic, Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Vukic | 58c | 2,500$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Goffin | 42c | 2,064$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.79 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vukic | 53c | 1,240$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…335abacked Goffin | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vukic | 54c | 729.03$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Goffin | 42c | 708.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Vukic | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed Goffin | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Goffin | 43c | 322$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Goffin | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Vukic | 57c | 208.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Goffin | 43c | 175.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vukic | 60c | 170.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Goffin | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Vukic | 58c | 121.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Vukic | 44c | 118.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Goffin | 51c | 86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic | 51c | 78.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Goffin | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Goffin | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Vukic | 50c | 42.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Vukic | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.