Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc76c73c5ef5ea78da9ccfe5e082b2fbf339f443137b8aeef38575247bb961c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 1,370$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 24c | 800.22$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 513.16$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 28c | 503.03$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 370$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 30c | 369.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 358.95$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 355.46$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 22c | 304.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 267.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 246.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 70c | 228$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 78c | 212.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 168.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 75c | 165.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 69.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 73c | 60.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 28c | 60.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 65c | 58.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 29c | 50.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…4c59backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 48.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 37c | 38.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked No | 72c | 19.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 71c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.