Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262a139311271790e33b629188fada37d74dee8268bc8ae577f78c73ec71b337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 60c | 4,115$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.03 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 61c | 1,651$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 1,299$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.53 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 955.8$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 909.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 820.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.18 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 718.75$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.57 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 667.29$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Yes | 62c | 657.87$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 8c | 451.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 415.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 39c | 372.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 60c | 209.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 197.13$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 10c | 147.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 21c | 147.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 147$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 40c | 132.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 130.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked No | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 100.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 40c | 100.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 62c | 77.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 80c | 74.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 77c | 73.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 60c | 44.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 40c | 35.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 44c | 34.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed Yes | 79c | 19.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC leading at halftime?this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Draw at halftime?No won
- Sporting Kansas City leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.