Champions League · resolved market
Kuopion PS leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a9974ef6066a2741dfb3c5e895eea036748d2c3d621eec7e81c6d3a020332d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 6,396$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.63 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 33c | 5,757$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.13 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 1,878$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.62 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 32c | 1,855$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 1,791$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.33 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 1,100$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.06 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 875.87$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.58 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 35c | 740.97$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 51c | 662$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.38 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 32c | 561$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 311.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 32c | 245.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 55c | 189.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked No | 69c | 152.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 52c | 106.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 38c | 85.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 39c | 82.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 65.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 35.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 60c | 35.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed No | 64c | 24.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 63c | 20.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS leading at halftime?this page
- FK Vardar Skopje leading at halftime?No won
- Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.