MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff380dc042dbe0d7ad6f90a21926ab3478074d3b27094b0f4030bb177098a480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Kiwoom Heroes, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Doosan Bears | 64c | 2,063$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.15 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 1,693$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.13 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 18c | 775.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 729$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.56 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 534.62$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 479.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…a02abacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Doosan Bears | 7c | 286.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 209$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 203.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 177.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 176.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 170$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 14c | 148.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 142.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 129.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 110.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 101.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 100.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 98.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 14c | 74.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 74.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 73.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 19c | 65.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 65.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 53.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 37.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 37.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…e9afbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…0996backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 31.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 29.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…5c19backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 21.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 20.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 18.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.