TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,667 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40b4…1483backed Yes46c2,175$1,000 inLost-$1,00014045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No54c2,061$1,105 inWon+$956.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No54c1,570$848 inWon+$722.22,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes46c1,381$642 inLost-$641.5333049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c549.45$242 inLost-$241.8984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No57c300$171 inWon+$12985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed No55c115.4$63 inWon+$51.9378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No54c113.22$61 inWon+$51.7653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa64…898cbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost-$501225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes46c108.34$50 inLost-$506524.6%16 W · 49 L-11.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes47c106.68$50 inLost-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No53c92.68$49 inWon+$43.5679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Yes52c67.31$35 inLost-$352347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No54c60$32 inWon+$27.64360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No56c59.98$33 inWon+$26.596349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf829…e771backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes46c52.46$24 inLost-$24.1312542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No53c52.35$28 inWon+$24.690863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc20b…a3f7backed Yes44c50.09$22 inLost-$22.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No55c39.03$22 inWon+$17.3933356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes41c36.39$15 inLost-$14.9215156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26a3…1cc1backed Yes50c30$15 inLost-$15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a03…4066backed No59c25.42$15 inWon+$10.421070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No56c24$13 inWon+$10.5636153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.