WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ed71c61305213edb53181ac5dbbbd2828aa9a5b13f6a19c899f55524459e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 49,534$23,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,144.76 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 29,672$15,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,741.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 19,500$10,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,210 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 47c | 4,186$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.24 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 53c | 1,730$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.06 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 53c | 1,721$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.27 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 46c | 1,503$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.61 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 983.77$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 38c | 807.36$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 800$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 19c | 782.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 639.21$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.97 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 629.84$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 48c | 599.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…7274backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 224$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 12c | 218.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 7c | 218.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Over | 57c | 88.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 55c | 60.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 42.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 45c | 34.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…addcbacked Under | 48c | 33.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 25.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 25.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.