WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ee7f09d0cee1a124a4c7d5aa31ade845712eeb5b9a5f3489fb08d4995cf600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 21,945$10,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,359.74 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 19,286$9,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,978.3 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,294$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.98 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 16c | 827.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 489.38$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 13c | 360$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 8c | 360$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 316.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 220.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 146$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 50c | 98.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 52c | 96.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab9…0a7cbacked Over | 52c | 96.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 88.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Over | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 76.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 54.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 48c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Under | 49c | 38.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 54c | 36.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 47c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…addcbacked Under | 48c | 22.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.