WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ec9ec78a77c867008555fda5bd7396c3674138e3155b15b9584a71af1e2c8ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,456$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.15 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,285$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.38 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 67c | 1,709$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.75 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 28c | 716.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 6c | 700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 610.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 561.02$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.12 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 9c | 527.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 39c | 510.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 33c | 446.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 359.46$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.14 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 68c | 285.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 51c | 278.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 251.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 39c | 142.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 52c | 114.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 114.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 50c | 98.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 33c | 86.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 35c | 85.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 37c | 85.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 45c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 50c | 50.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 35.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 50c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 70c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Under | 79c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.