WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8a7c3f0836109e50abe0531216d6f659fd7efa3eeafbd5b24abf7391ed32ccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Minnesota Lynx, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Lynx | 61c | 5,752$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Washington Mystics | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Washington Mystics | 59c | 1,611$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Washington Mystics | 37c | 1,404$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.33 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 1,313$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.37 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 813.44$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.99 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Washington Mystics | 73c | 730$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Washington Mystics | 74c | 537.11$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 27c | 506.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Mystics | 40c | 467.46$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.88 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Mystics | 43c | 405$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Minnesota Lynx | 25c | 233$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Mystics | 37c | 215.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Minnesota Lynx | 33c | 58.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 53.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Minnesota Lynx | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 25.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.