CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ac402e392d169372690bba93f703c4db637cc484c829af3d333eba6f06325d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK | 73c | 2,674$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.88 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Walczaki | 41c | 1,500$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.41 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 61c | 1,446$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 17c | 1,101$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 38c | 516$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked TDK | 60c | 396.26$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 56c | 384.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TDK | 58c | 275.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Walczaki | 22c | 256$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Walczaki | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 59c | 169.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Walczaki | 34c | 148.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki | 68c | 146.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked TDK | 72c | 137.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 60c | 127.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Walczaki | 59c | 117.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed TDK | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Walczaki | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Walczaki | 37c | 94.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Walczaki | 26c | 73.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…ff7fbacked TDK | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 52c | 67.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Walczaki | 31c | 64.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Walczaki | 35c | 61.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed TDK | 42c | 60.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Walczaki | 48c | 58.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed TDK | 69c | 52.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Walczaki | 36c | 47.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed TDK | 65c | 44.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed Walczaki | 30c | 43.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…e2c0backed TDK | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 63c | 38.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Walczaki | 50c | 30.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TDK | 61c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked TDK | 63c | 26.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked TDK | 64c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked TDK | 60c | 22.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed TDK | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed Walczaki | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.