WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa2fcaa703fa49ebef1bd55fae5f4086a00bce6ae23a2878819baa1918d3cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Under | 47c | 7,991$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 5,020$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 3,542$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 52c | 2,613$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 49c | 2,399$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.31 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 947$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.5 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 849$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 49c | 673.47$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 53c | 625$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 507.61$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.81 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 396.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 58c | 354.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 46c | 296.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 260.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 15c | 207.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 135.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 115.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Over | 50c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 101.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 99.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 78.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 47c | 75.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 39.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 37.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 39c | 35.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 52c | 34.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 47c | 34.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Over | 47c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…f94bbacked Under | 61c | 30.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…427abacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 52c | 28.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 28.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 50c | 27.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 50c | 25.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18df…1f13backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…8473backed Under | 55c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.