WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b873722167b69907d56fe0674b6eb62002999098ab07c6695fc7d835899e322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Los Angeles Sparks, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 10,531$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.21 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 10,469$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 9,864$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.08 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 5,752$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.17 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 5,745$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 4,556$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.51 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 4,460$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.08 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 3,190$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.3 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 2,982$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 2,093$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.86 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 1,682$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.5 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 1,357$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.89 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 1,015$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.31 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 764.17$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.16 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 85.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 76.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 28.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e2…8f92backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 21.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.