WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7be1477123f50de7af3aa619762502ef453f12efc0e0f595761039aebbefe6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Los Angeles Sparks, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Los Angeles Sparks | 40c | 4,444$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Connecticut Sun | 60c | 4,289$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.53 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 3,057$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.53 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,992$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.23 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 728.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 700.94$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.45 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 325.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.18 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 287.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 168$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 162.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 100.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 38c | 71.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 62.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 59.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 56.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 56.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 56.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun | 67c | 30.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 24.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…e0e2backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.