CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x178ede55a6b9c0d96df8e33d55228320168cb84d347fff2337427b5866280bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestigeof Prestige, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Prestige | 45c | 4,354$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Prestige | 36c | 2,663$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.73 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked MANA eSports | 78c | 1,505$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.74 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MANA eSports | 67c | 1,075$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.24 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 1,002$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.44 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Prestige | 37c | 862.2$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…8a04backed Prestige | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 772.68$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 55c | 764.2$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.87 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked MANA eSports | 64c | 733.42$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.46 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked MANA eSports | 67c | 710.9$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.98 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Prestige | 42c | 699.45$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.84 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked MANA eSports | 64c | 383.8$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Prestige | 36c | 318.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Prestige | 36c | 317.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked MANA eSports | 61c | 306$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Prestige | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed MANA eSports | 63c | 296$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 45c | 272.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MANA eSports | 55c | 269.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed MANA eSports | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MANA eSports | 67c | 241.07$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Prestige | 37c | 235.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed MANA eSports | 64c | 231.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed MANA eSports | 63c | 224.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 218.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Prestige | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -9.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed MANA eSports | 53c | 196$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Prestige | 35c | 193.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Prestige | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked MANA eSports | 65c | 180$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…394fbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 162.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Prestige | 42c | 155.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked MANA eSports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Prestige | 56c | 136.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…338abacked Prestige | 59c | 133.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked MANA eSports | 64c | 121.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Prestige | 36c | 100.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MANA eSports | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Prestige | 47c | 96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Prestige | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed MANA eSports | 60c | 89.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Prestige | 39c | 89.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Prestige | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Prestige | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MANA eSports | 70c | 71.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed MANA eSports | 61c | 70.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Prestige | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Prestige | 35c | 63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed MANA eSports | 63c | 62.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MANA eSports | 62c | 55.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…34a7backed Prestige | 56c | 53.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked MANA eSports | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Prestige | 60c | 43.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…daf4backed Prestige | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…4917backed Prestige | 43c | 34.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Prestige | 34c | 34.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed MANA eSports | 48c | 33.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked MANA eSports | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…9dd2backed MANA eSports | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Prestige | 36c | 30.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked MANA eSports | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9f06backed Prestige | 60c | 28.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed MANA eSports | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…b4edbacked Prestige | 55c | 25.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…b7bdbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 24.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked MANA eSports | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MANA eSports | 54c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MANA eSports | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…bf4abacked MANA eSports | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…6a20backed MANA eSports | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…7091backed MANA eSports | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerPrestige won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: MANA (-1.5) vs Prestige (+1.5)Prestige won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.